OPINION
Sign In

Market Resolution

Think the result is wrong?
Put OPN on it.

A settled result is not final yet. Anyone can stake OPN to say it is wrong, and a committee decides. Right doubles your stake. Wrong loses it.

Proposed

10

Payouts are on hold. Stake OPN if the outcome is incorrect, or too early to resolve.

In review

5

Someone staked against the result. Both sides wait for the ruling.

Finalized

24

Nobody disputed it, or the committee has ruled. It will not change again.

Full Rules

My Disputes

In review (2)

Finalized (8)

Ready to claim11,000 OPN

Markets

Original outcome

Dispute type

My stake

Potential reward

Result

Will Brent crude close above $80 in July?

NO

Incorrect outcome

1,300

1,300

Accepted

Will Brent crude close above $80 in July?

NO

Incorrect outcome

My stake

Potential reward

Result

1,300

1,300

Accepted

Will Apple ship a foldable iPhone in 2026?

YES

Incorrect outcome

2,000

2,000

Accepted

Will Apple ship a foldable iPhone in 2026?

YES

Incorrect outcome

My stake

Potential reward

Result

2,000

2,000

Accepted

Will TON enter the top 10 by market cap before July?

YES

Too early to resolve

1,500

1,500

Accepted

Will TON enter the top 10 by market cap before July?

YES

Too early to resolve

My stake

Potential reward

Result

1,500

1,500

Accepted

Will July CPI come in below 3.0%?

NO

Too early to resolve

1,000

(Forfeited)

—

Rejected

Will July CPI come in below 3.0%?

NO

Too early to resolve

My stake

Potential reward

Result

1,000

(Forfeited)

—

Rejected

Will ETH spot ETF options list by Sep 30?

YES

Incorrect outcome

1,200

(Forfeited)

—

Rejected

Will ETH spot ETF options list by Sep 30?

YES

Incorrect outcome

My stake

Potential reward

Result

1,200

(Forfeited)

—

Rejected

FIFA World Cup 2026 — group stage top scorer team

Argentina

YES

Incorrect outcome

1,000

(Forfeited)

—

Rejected

Argentina

-

YES

Incorrect outcome

My stake

Potential reward

Result

1,000

(Forfeited)

—

Rejected

Will the SEC approve a BTC ETF options expansion by Oct 31?

YES

Incorrect outcome

2,400

2,400

Accepted

Will the SEC approve a BTC ETF options expansion by Oct 31?

YES

Incorrect outcome

My stake

Potential reward

Result

2,400

2,400

Accepted

Will June nonfarm payrolls come in above 150K?

YES

Incorrect outcome

1,800

1,800

Accepted

Will June nonfarm payrolls come in above 150K?

YES

Incorrect outcome

My stake

Potential reward

Result

1,800

1,800

Accepted

All Proposals

Proposed (10)

In review (5)

Finalized

Markets

Proposed outcome

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

Will the Fed cut rates at the July meeting?

NO

1,500

1,500

Will the Fed cut rates at the July meeting?

NO

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

1,500

1,500

Will Apple announce an AI wearable at WWDC 2026?

NO

1,000

1,000

Will Apple announce an AI wearable at WWDC 2026?

NO

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

1,000

1,000

NBA Finals 2026 — series winner

Oklahoma City Thunder

YES

3,100

3,100

Oklahoma City Thunder

-

YES

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

3,100

3,100

Boston Celtics

NO

3,100

3,100

Boston Celtics

-

NO

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

3,100

3,100

Denver Nuggets

NO

3,100

3,100

Denver Nuggets

-

NO

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

3,100

3,100

Democratic nominee for 2028 — who wins the primary?

Gavin Newsom

NO

1,000

1,000

Gavin Newsom

-

NO

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

1,000

1,000

Josh Shapiro

NO

1,000

1,000

Josh Shapiro

-

NO

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

1,000

1,000

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

YES

1,000

1,000

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

-

YES

Required stake

Potential reward

Window ends in

1,000

1,000